CAUTION: Current funding of $2.0M falls $1.35M short of the recommended $3.35M minimum.
Review Section 8 for paths to viability before proceeding to implementation.
02 / 08
Token & Collateral Structure
Token Parameters
Name / SymbolSecureMint Token / SMT
Peg Target$1.00 USD
Total Supply100,000,000
Circulating45,000,000 (45%)
Treasury Held55,000,000 (55%)
Backing Ratio105%
Epoch Mint Cap5,000,000 / 24h
Redemption Fee10 bps (0.1%)
Insurance Fund$2,500,000
Collateral Allocation — $105,000,000
$105M
Total Backing
USDC60% — $63.0M
US Treasury Bonds25% — $26.3M
ETH10% — $10.5M
Liquid Reserves5% — $5.3M
DEX Liquidity
$15.0M
Uniswap V3 + Curve
CEX Liquidity
$8.0M
Binance, Coinbase, Kraken
Daily Volume
$3.2M
Average daily trading
03 / 08
Startup Costs — $1,052,250
One-time investment required before mainnet launch
Inflection at Month 16: Monthly revenue ($146,667) first exceeds costs ($144,900).
The cumulative deficit peaks at -$2.56M then begins recovering, but does not reach $0 within 24 months at current funding level.
07 / 08
Stress Tests & Risk Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation: 10,000 iterations, 95% confidence interval
S1: Bank RunPass w/ Warning
50% redemption in 24h
Peg Nadir$0.970
Min Backing101.2%
Recovery402 min
S2: Oracle AttackPass
30% deviation target
Max Deviation2.1%
Attack Cost$47M
Recovery12 min
S3: Whale DumpWarning
28M SMT (80% of top 10)
Peg Nadir$0.937
>5% Dev Time132 min
Recovery258 min
S4: Death SpiralPass
60% ETH crash ($3500 to $1400)
Peg Nadir$0.958
Insurance Used75.6%
Min Backing100.1%
S5: Flash LoanPass
$100M flash loan attack
Extractable$0
Attacker P&L-$89,657
Max Deviation0.1%
S6: Liquidity CrisisWarning
100% DEX liquidity removal
Peg Nadir$0.948
Spread Peak210 bps
Recovery415 min
Core Invariants — All Hold Across All Scenarios
INV-1Supply ≤ Backing
INV-2Oracle verified pre-mint
INV-3Rate limits enforced
INV-4No bypass path
08 / 08
Investment & Path Forward
Funding Rounds
Round
Amount
Valuation
Seed
$500,000
$5,000,000
Series A
$1,500,000
$15,000,000
Total
$2,000,000
ROI Projections (Year 2)
Conservative15.0%
Base Case30.0%
Optimistic45.0%
Go / No-Go Criteria
Funding ≥ $3.35MFail
Break-even < 24 monthsReview
ROI > 0% (Year 2)Pass
Contingency > 10%Pass
Recommended: Option D — Hybrid Approach
Additional raise+$500K
Dynamic fees0.1%-0.5%
Phased hiring7 FTE to 9
Defer MSB license-$50K
Est. break-evenMonth 18-20
Required TVL~$85M
Next Step: Secure additional $500K funding and implement dynamic fee structure (REC-05) to achieve break-even by Month 18-20 with $85M TVL target.